小栓说市弱势一时难变探底之路还很漫长

dengjiayudao

【中经联播 观察员郑小栓】今日沪深两市股指在昨晚降息刺激下双双高开，但高开后却呈震荡回落走势，虽然上午在券商股的带领之下股指止跌企稳，后由于银行股低迷，地产股回落，午后两市股指再度翻绿并震荡走低，成交量持续萎缩。

盘面显示，今日券商股涨幅第一，军工北京中科白癜风医院助力白斑圆梦征程板块午后崛起，保险、汽车也涨幅居前，黄金、银行、水泥跌幅居前。目前看两市成交量仍处于较低水平，市场人气较为低迷，盘中主动性抛盘有所增加，市场弱势难以改变。

消息面上，中国人民银行6月7日晚间宣布，自2012年6月8日起下调金融机构人民币存贷款基准利率。金融机构一年期存款基准利率下调0.25个百分点，一年期贷款基准利率下调0.25个百分点；其他各档次存贷款基准利率及个人住房公北京中科白癜风医院助力白斑圆梦征程积金存贷款利率相应调整。自同日起：（1）将金融机构存款利率浮动区间的上限调整为基准利率的1.1倍；（2）将金融机构贷款利率浮动区间的下限调整为基准利率的0.8倍。这是央行三年多来首次降息，与之相呼应，6月8日上午，中国工商银行、中国银行、中国建设银行、中国农业银行、交通银行等五大国有银行官方站公布的最新存款利率表显示，其一年期存款利率全部上浮至3.5%，北京中科白癜风医院助力白斑圆梦征程接近此前央行规定的1.1倍上限标准。而五大银行实际贷款利率则按央行最新公布贷款基准利率执行。

此次降息对地产等高负债行业比较有利，也会一定程度促进消费，对银行股的影响偏空，考虑经济增速明确回升的时点仍无法确认，以及新股发行压力、二级市场资金面紧张，股票市场对本次降息反应不大，难以阻止股指继续下跌。还有，这次降息符合预期，只是北京中科白癜风医院助力白斑圆梦征程在5月份数据公布前就降息早于预期，说明目前经济下滑压力仍然很大。

国家发改委今日发布通知，决定自6月9日零时起将汽、柴油价格每吨分别降低530元和510元，测算到零售价格90号汽油和0号柴油(全国平均)每升分别降低0.39元和0.44元。此消息对能源类板块利空，对汽车、航空、化纤等板块利好。

技术面上，在央行降息的利好消息推动下，今日沪深股指再度跳空高开，可惜未能力挽颓势，而是再次震荡走低，午后创出近期调整新低。沪市综指最高在2300点整数关附近遇阻，如短期内不能回到2300点上方，则探底之路还很漫长。

综合来看，短期股指仍然难以走出弱势行情，市场将以弱势震荡为主，投资者不妨继续谨慎观望，等待市场调整结束。

中经联播声明：本版文章内容纯属作者个人观点，仅供投资者参考，并不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。新一轮强降雨袭击长江中下游地区多省区暴雨

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